Individual skill
donchian-strong-regime
Use when writing a trend-breakdown short gated by a triple-confirmed strong-bear regime — donchian short, structural breakdown, regime-gated trend follower, EMA-separation plus ADX plus N-bar return confirmation. Validated on BTC; fires only in confirmed bear regimes and takes zero trades in chop by design. Pairs with bollinger-reverter-4h.
skills/donchian-strong-regime/SKILL.md
Source commit 9d41db54b231f77e35610a73230eaeffcb456215
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- Last checked
- Nov 7, 2026
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- Sep 10, 2026
- License
- MIT
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# Donchian Strong-Regime Short
Trend-breakdown short, gated by a triple-confirmed strong-bear regime. Stays out of chop entirely. Validated on BTC/USDC:USDC over 162 days (2025-11-20 → 2026-05-01).
Searchable under: **trend follower**, **breakdown**, **regime-gated**, **donchian short**, **structural break**.
## Backtest evidence
| Window | Trades | Win rate | Profit | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full period (162d) | 6 | **100%** | **+6.69%** | **0%** |
| First-half / strong bear (82d) | 6 | **100%** | +6.69% | 0% |
| Second-half / chop (80d) | **0** | — | **0%** | 0% |
