Individual skill
trade-thesis
Use when a user proposes a trade idea, asks "should I trade X", wants a bull/bear case, conviction check, trade plan or pre-trade analysis, or before deploying any new strategy live for the first time. Builds a structured thesis: bull and bear cases, invalidation criteria, and a sizing rationale.
skills/trade-thesis/SKILL.md
Source commit 9d41db54b231f77e35610a73230eaeffcb456215
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- Last checked
- Nov 7, 2026
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- Repository last updated
- Sep 10, 2026
- License
- MIT
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- agent-skills Repository topic
- backtesting Repository topic
- hyperliquid Repository topic
- trading Repository topic
- ai-agents Repository topic
- algorithmic-trading Repository topic
- equities Repository topic
- llm Repository topic
- mcp Repository topic
- polymarket Repository topic
- engineering Derived category
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# Pre-Trade Thesis Builder
A structured framework the agent produces before any live deployment of a new strategy idea. Forces two-sided analysis and a measurable invalidation level so every trade has a thesis that can be killed.
## When to produce a thesis
- The user proposes a new trade idea ("I want to long ETH", "thinking about a funding squeeze on SOL")
- The user asks "should I trade X" or "is this a good setup"
- The agent is about to deploy a new strategy to live for the first time
- The user explicitly asks for a bull/bear case, conviction check, or pre-trade analysis
## When to skip
- **Backtests and parameter sweeps** — the thesis is for live capital, not for exploring an idea