Individual skill

breakout

Use when writing a swing/intraday breakout strategy on Superior Trade — anything described as breakout, momentum, trend following, 12-hour high, range expansion, riding new highs, Donchian breakout. Note this template was unprofitable in our reference backtest (long-only in a -13% market); explain regime sensitivity to the user.

skills/breakout/SKILL.md

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Sep 10, 2026
License
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# Strategy: Momentum · Breakout

## When to use

A user asks for "breakout", "momentum", "trend following", "buy new highs", "Donchian breakout", "range expansion". Single or multi-pair, hour-scale, with a trailing stop.

## Honest framing

The reference backtest was **unprofitable** (36% WR, −0.95% PnL) on `BTC/USDC:USDC` 1h Jan-May 2026 — but BTC fell **−13%** in that window. **Long-only breakouts in a downtrend are structurally a losing setup.** The strategy is correct; the regime was wrong.

Two practical paths to make this work:

- **Add a regime filter** (e.g. only enter when `close > ema_200` on the higher timeframe).
- **Run on a wider, multi-pair scan** so trending alts contribute even when BTC is weak.
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