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probability-momentum

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Use when a Polymarket outcome price and filled volume are accelerating in the same direction.

skills/probability-momentum/SKILL.md

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# Strategy: Polymarket · Probability Momentum

## When to use

Use this when someone asks for momentum, trend following, breakout, follow-the-crowd behavior, fast-moving crypto milestones, or rapid probability acceleration.

## What the agent should look for

- Canonical Polymarket market from `GET /context/markets?venue=polymarket`.
- `backtest_ready: true`.
- Sufficient filled-trade history for the requested lookback window.
- Rising probability on last-trade filled ticks.
- Elevated fill counts or larger notional during the move.
- Market not too close to resolution unless user explicitly accepts expiry risk.
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