Individual skill

mean-reversion

Use when writing a Bollinger-band mean-reversion strategy on Superior Trade — anything described as mean reversion, BB bands, oversold bounce, fade, range trade, ADX low, sigma extension. Upgraded 2026-05-18 from the prior 1h/2.5σ variant to the validated 4h/2σ/ADX<25 version (+8.77% multi-pair, 65.5% win over 162d). Prior 1h variant is preserved at the end of the file as an archived reference.

skills/mean-reversion/SKILL.md

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# Mean Reversion — Bollinger Reverter 4h

**Note:** This template was upgraded from the prior 1h / 2.5σ / ADX<30 version to the 4h / 2σ / ADX<25 version after backtesting showed the 4h variant produces meaningfully more trades with comparable risk and validated multi-pair edge. The prior 1h version is preserved at the end for reference.

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Symmetric mean-reversion strategy on the 4h timeframe. Long-or-short on Bollinger band touches, gated to range regimes via ADX. Validated across BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE over 162 days.

## Backtest evidence

| Config | Trades | Win | Profit | Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USDC:USDC, 162d | 18 | 72% | **+8.14%** | 10% |
| BTC/USDC:USDC, range-regime sub-window (80d) | 8 | **100%** | **+9.88%** | **0%** |
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