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deadline-drift

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Use when a Polymarket market probability changes as the resolution deadline approaches.

skills/deadline-drift/SKILL.md

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Sep 10, 2026
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# Strategy: Polymarket · Deadline Drift

## When to use

Use this for before-date contracts, monthly/weekly threshold markets, election timing markets, or requests where time remaining is the core thesis.

## What the agent should look for

- Canonical Polymarket market from `GET /context/markets?venue=polymarket`.
- Reliable `market_end` from market metadata.
- Time remaining during the candidate backtest window.
- Probability drift near deadline in the filled history.
- Whether the market reprices gradually or with sharp catalyst jumps.
- User preference for holding to settlement or exiting earlier.
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