Individual skill
market-scenario-modeler
Toolkit for building TAM/SAM/SOM models, sensitivity analyses, and narrative-ready visuals.
plugins/market-research/skills/market-scenario-modeler/SKILL.md
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# Market Scenario Modeler Skill
## When to Use
- Translating research findings into financial models and strategic scenarios.
- Stress-testing revenue or adoption assumptions for planning cycles.
- Packaging insights for finance, product, and executive stakeholders.
## Framework
1. **Assumption Library** – document data sources, CAGR, penetration, pricing, channel mix.
2. **Scenario Matrix** – base, upside, downside cases with drivers (pricing, win rate, expansion, macro).
3. **Sensitivity Analysis** – tornado charts, Monte Carlo snippets, or sliders for key variables.
4. **Visualization Layer** – waterfall, area, and heat maps tying numbers to narratives.
5. **Decision Hooks** – highlight trigger points, required investments, and guardrails.
