Individual skill
estimate-effective-evidence-count
Estimate an effective number of independent evidence/reasoning paths after discounting dependence/correlation; report nominal N, dependence structure, and N_eff.
skills/estimate-effective-evidence-count/SKILL.md
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# estimate-effective-evidence-count
## Purpose
Estimate independent evidence count after discounting dependence and correlation.
## Input contract
```yaml
required: [evidence_paths, dependence_structure]
optional: [correlation_estimates, nominal_count]
constraints: [dependence assumptions and uncertainty must be explicit]
```
## Procedure
1. Count nominal paths and trace shared dependencies.
2. Assign dependence classes or correlations.
3. Estimate N_eff and sensitivity to dependence assumptions.
## Output contract