Individual skill
yao-kelly-skill
Turn uncertain resource-allocation requests into practical action plans using Kelly sizing as a conservative allocation engine. Use when a user needs to decide whether an opportunity is suitable for Kelly, what minimum action package to run, how much resource to cap, when to add or stop, and how to review results. Do not use for pure formula tutoring, guaranteed-return claims, martingale escalation, or final licensed investment, legal, or tax advice.
skills/yao-kelly-skill/SKILL.md
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- Last checked
- Nov 9, 2026
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- Repository last updated
- Oct 14, 2026
- License
- MIT
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README.mddoc · 2,429 bytesSKILL.mdcore · 4,610 bytesSKILL.mdcore · 4,610 bytesagents/interface.yamlasset · 962 byteshistory/CHANGELOG.mddoc · 9,868 byteslogs/README.mddoc · 266 bytesmanifest.jsonasset · 628 bytesreferences/intake-contract.mddoc · 4,762 bytesreferences/kelly-sizing-playbook.mddoc · 2,834 bytesreferences/logging-contract.mddoc · 2,240 bytesreferences/multi-turn-kelly-loop.mddoc · 3,099 bytesreferences/output-contract.mddoc · 4,198 bytesreferences/safety-and-scope.mddoc · 1,078 bytesreports/design-summary.mddoc · 1,203 bytesreports/engineering-hours-brief.jsonasset · 2,947 bytesreports/engineering-hours-output.jsonasset · 8,028 bytesreports/engineering-hours-report.htmlasset · 28,026 bytesreports/example-brief.jsonasset · 1,631 bytesreports/example-html-report.htmlasset · 26,221 bytesreports/example-output.jsonasset · 4,440 bytesreports/internet-product-sprint-brief.jsonasset · 4,422 bytesreports/internet-product-sprint-output.jsonasset · 8,137 bytesreports/internet-product-sprint-report.htmlasset · 28,023 bytesreports/marketing-budget-brief.jsonasset · 3,019 bytesreports/marketing-budget-output.jsonasset · 7,982 bytesreports/marketing-budget-report.htmlasset · 27,910 bytesscripts/append_iteration_log.pyruns · 2,649 bytesscripts/generate_html_report.pyruns · 32,054 bytesscripts/kelly_allocation_report.pyruns · 26,094 bytes
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# Yao Kelly Skill
## Use This Skill For
- turn "should I invest, bet, or allocate, and how much?" into a practical resource allocation plan
- decide whether the user's problem is actually suitable for Kelly-style sizing
- translate a percentage into a minimum action package with owner, metric, review window, add condition, and stop condition
- start with incomplete input, give a provisional view early, then ask only the minimum high-impact follow-up questions
- size a single bet or opportunity, or conservatively split a pool across several opportunities
- keep a round-by-round log for the current case and an append-only change log for future edits to this skill
## Do Not Route Here
- pure formula tutoring, homework solving, or generic finance education