Individual skill

what-if-oracle

Run structured What-If scenario analysis with multi-branch possibility exploration. Use this skill when the user asks speculative questions like "what if...", "what would happen if...", "what are the possibilities", "explore scenarios", "scenario analysis", "possibility space", "what could go wrong", "best case / worst case", "risk analysis", "contingency planning", "strategic options", or any question about uncertain futures. Also trigger when the user faces a fork-in-the-road decision, wants to stress-test an idea, or needs to think through consequences before committing.

scientific-skills/what-if-oracle/SKILL.md

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Repository last updated: Apr 10, 2026
License: MIT

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# What-If Oracle — Possibility Space Explorer

A structured system for exploring uncertain futures through rigorous multi-branch scenario analysis. Instead of one prediction, the Oracle maps the full **possibility space** — branching timelines where each path has its own logic, probability, and consequences.

Based on the What-If Statement paradigm: the idea that speculative questions ("What if X?") are not idle daydreaming but a **fundamental computing operation** — the mind's way of simulating futures before committing resources to one.

Published research: [The What-If Statement (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18736841)](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18736841) | [IDNA Consolidation v2 (DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.18807387)](https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.18807387)

## Core Principle: 0·IF·1

Every scenario analysis has three elements:

- **0** — The unexpressed state (what hasn't happened yet, the potential)
- **1** — The expressed state (what IS, the current reality)