Individual skill
thinking-lindy-effect
Use when longevity of a non-perishable option matters. Treat survival duration as a remaining-life prior, then check domain drift before favoring the proven.
skills/thinking-lindy-effect/SKILL.md
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- ai-tools Repository topic
- anthropic Repository topic
- claude Repository topic
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- critical-thinking Repository topic
- decision-making Repository topic
- first-principles Repository topic
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# Lindy Effect
For non-perishable ideas, technologies, and practices, expected remaining life scales with current survival age. Prefer proven survivors unless the new option clears a burden of proof or the domain has drifted.
## When to Use
- Choosing languages, frameworks, databases, protocols, patterns, or dependencies where long-term survival matters.
- Skill or architecture bets whose value depends on lasting relevance.
- Ranking options when ages differ materially and the choice outlives a short experiment.
## When NOT to Use
- Perishable targets: specific SaaS vendors, hardware, fashion, or products that can shut down regardless of concept age.
- Active paradigm discontinuity where age in the old regime is weak evidence.