Individual skill
thinking-effectuation
Under genuine uncertainty with no reliable forecast, inventory means, cap downside at affordable loss, act for commitments, and let goals emerge from controllable moves.
skills/thinking-effectuation/SKILL.md
Source commit 7b8fece345dfaa11773be7152ccd194589cb5437
What was checked
- Matches the observed repository HEAD
- Yes
- Scanner rules are current
- No
- Repository scan complete
- No
- Skill scan complete
- Yes
- Observed behavior
- Not checked yet
- Last checked
- Nov 9, 2026
These are observations at the recorded commit, not a guarantee of safety. Review the source before running it.
Install this skill
Choose an agent in your Stack or copy a command below. Commands fetch the pinned commit and copy only this skill directory. Existing destinations are refused. Copying a command does not install anything.
An install command is unavailable: current rules, complete repository and skill scans, an eligible behavior level and a permitted license are required.
Repository context
- Repository stars (not skill ratings)
- 1,730
- Repository last updated
- Aug 7, 2026
- License
- MIT
Observed agent integration: No specific integration evidence. Standard SKILL.md installation does not imply verified compatibility.
- ai-tools Repository topic
- anthropic Repository topic
- claude Repository topic
- claude-code Repository topic
- critical-thinking Repository topic
- decision-making Repository topic
- first-principles Repository topic
- mental-models Repository topic
- problem-solving Repository topic
- systems-thinking Repository topic
- engineering Derived category
Files and excerpt
File metadata and permitted, redacted excerpts come from the recorded scan. Source links are pinned to that commit.
Browse files
SKILL.mdcore · 3,924 bytes
Read excerpt
# Effectuation
Under Knightian uncertainty, start from available means and affordable loss—not a fixed goal and predicted return. Create the path through controllable action and real commitments.
## When to Use
- The market, technology, or problem is novel enough that outcome probabilities are not trustworthy.
- Means are clearer than the goal: identity, skills, assets, and network exist before a fixed target does.
- A small action can buy information or a partner commitment without risking ruin.
- Plans keep breaking because the environment shifts faster than forecasts.
## When NOT to Use
- The path is predictable: known market, knowable unit economics, established playbook → use causal planning.