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btc-bottom-model

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Bitcoin cycle timing model with weighted scoring system. Tracks 13 indicators across 2 categories — Daily Pulse (4 indicators, 32 points) and Weekly Structure (9 indicators, 68 points) — producing a composite 0-100 Market Heat Score. Covers ETF flows, funding rate, long/short ratio, fear & greed index, LTH-MVRV, NUPL, SOPR (LTH + STH), LTH supply %, moving average multiples (365d MA, 200w MA), weekly RSI, and volume trends. Provides both buy AND sell recommendations across the full market cycle. Use this skill when users mention Bitcoin bottom-fishing, BTC cycle position, whether to buy or sell BTC, on-chain metrics, MVRV, NUPL, SOPR, LTH behavior, ETF inflows/outflows, funding rates, fear index, whether Bitcoin is overheated, miner cost, crypto market sentiment, BTC position sizing, or any question like "Should I buy Bitcoin now?" or "Is BTC topping out?" or "What do on-chain indicators say?"

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Repository last updated
Aug 18, 2026
License
MIT

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# Bitcoin Cycle Timing Model (BTC Market Heat Scoring System)

This skill helps you systematically assess where Bitcoin sits in its market cycle — from extreme fear (accumulation opportunity) to extreme greed (distribution/exit signal). Through a weighted evaluation of 13 on-chain, sentiment, and market indicators, it produces a 0-100 **Market Heat Score** and actionable buy/sell recommendations.

## Use Cases

Use this skill when users ask the following types of questions:
- Has Bitcoin bottomed out / Can I buy the dip
- Is Bitcoin overheated / Should I take profits
- Where is BTC in the current cycle
- Do on-chain data support building or reducing a position
- What are long-term holders doing / Are ETFs buying or selling
- Is leverage too high / Is the market too greedy
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