Individual skill

root-cause-investigation

Systematic investigation of metric changes and anomalies. Use when a metric unexpectedly changes, investigating business metric drops, explaining performance variations, or drilling into aggregated metric drivers.

03-data-analysis-investigation/root-cause-investigation/SKILL.md

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# Root Cause Investigation

# When to use
- A key metric dropped (or spiked) unexpectedly and the team needs an explanation
- Stakeholders are asking "why did X happen?" and need an evidence-based answer
- A metric change has been observed but the team is unsure whether it's noise or signal
- Preparing a post-mortem after an incident that affected business metrics
- A trend change happened weeks ago and needs retrospective investigation

# Process
1. **Validate the change** — confirm the metric changed beyond normal variance using a z-score or simple comparison to the rolling average. If the change is within ±1.5 standard deviations, document it as within normal range and close. Use `scripts/drilldown_analyzer.py --validate`.
2. **Establish a timeline** — plot the metric over time to pinpoint when the change started. A sudden step change suggests a specific event; a gradual drift suggests a structural shift.
3. **Decompose the metric** — break the metric into its constituent parts (e.g., revenue = volume × price × mix). Determine which component is driving the change before drilling into dimensions.
4. **Drill down systematically** — compare the metric before vs. after the change across available dimensions (geography, platform, channel, product category, user segment). Sort by absolute contribution to identify the primary driver. Use `scripts/drilldown_analyzer.py --drilldown`. See `references/rca_framework.md` for the structured approach.
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