Menu

Individual skill

decision-heuristics

0upvotes

当用户在重大选择上纠结（换工作/买房/搬城/合伙/结婚）、列了利弊表还是拿不定主意时调用。 核心理念: 无法决定就答否; 三个重大决定(住哪/和谁/做什么)值得花一两年; 两个均等选择选短期更痛苦的路。 不适用于: 日常琐碎选择（晚饭吃什么）、信息查询。 Triggers: 纠结/拿不定主意/要不要/该不该/利弊/decision/hesitate/should I

dist/naval-almanack-pack/decision-heuristics/SKILL.md

Read pinned source

Source commit a28de55ba881b9928956a55048f743f7a9e3b23e

What was checked

Matches the observed repository HEAD
Yes
Scanner rules are current
Yes
Repository scan complete
No
Skill scan complete
Yes
Observed behavior
Instructions only
Last checked
Nov 9, 2026

These are observations at the recorded commit, not a guarantee of safety. Review the source before running it.

Install this skill

Choose an agent in your Stack or copy a command below. Commands fetch the pinned commit and copy only this skill directory. Existing destinations are refused. Copying a command does not install anything.

An install command is unavailable: current rules, complete repository and skill scans, an eligible behavior level and a permitted license are required.

Repository context

Repository stars (not skill ratings)
12,673
Repository last updated
Oct 2, 2026
License
MIT

Observed agent integration: No specific integration evidence. Standard SKILL.md installation does not imply verified compatibility.

Declared tags are partial or unavailable.

Files and excerpt

File metadata and permitted, redacted excerpts come from the recorded scan. Source links are pinned to that commit.

Browse files
Read excerpt
<!-- capability_id: cap.naval.decision-heuristics | revision: 1 | status: active -->
<!-- 来源: books/naval-almanack-skill/decision-heuristics/SKILL.md（正文逐字保留） -->

# 重大决策启发式

## R — 原文 (Reading)

> 如果你无法下决定，就回答否。原因是，现代社会充满了选择。……当你选择某些事物时，你会被锁定一段很长的时间。……简单的启发式算法：如果你在一个困难的决定上有同等程度的分歧，那么就选择在短期内会更痛苦的那条路。
>
> — 纳瓦尔·拉维坎特, 《纳瓦尔宝典》 第一章·财富

## I — 方法论骨架 (Interpretation)

现代社会的选择无穷多，而每个重大选择的锁定时间极长（创业十年、感情五年以上、城市十年以上），
所以决策的默认值是「否」——只有非常确定时才说「是」。
Back to top