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long-term-compounding

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当用户在选择合作者/生意模式/人生策略、问「要不要长期投入这段关系/这个项目」「如何积累声誉」时调用。 核心理念: 财富、知识、声誉、关系都遵循复利; 只玩长期正和游戏, 与能想象共事一辈子的人合作, 拒绝短期思维交易。 不适用于: 紧急止损、短期现金周转等必须立即决策的场景。 Triggers: 长期/复利/声誉/合作/信任/compounding/long-term/trust

books/naval-almanack-skill/long-term-compounding/SKILL.md

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# 长期复利游戏

## R — 原文 (Reading)

> 玩复利游戏。无论是财富，人际关系或是知识，所有你人生里获得的回报，都来自于复利。……我的联合创始人Nivi说，“在一个长期游戏里，好像每个人都在让彼此发财，而在一个短期游戏里，好像每个人都在让自己发财。”
>
> — 纳瓦尔·拉维坎特, 《纳瓦尔宝典》 第一章·财富

## I — 方法论骨架 (Interpretation)

把复利从金融概念升级为通用人生规律：财富、知识、声誉、关系都以指数方式积累，
所以选择的判据不是「现在能拿多少」，而是「这件事在十年尺度上是否复利」。
两个推论：① 只与「能想象共事一辈子」的长期伙伴合作——信任让谈判成本趋近于零；
② 只玩长期正和游戏——长期游戏里人人把饼做大，短期游戏里人人抢饼。
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