Individual skill
s4h-historical-cycle-detection
Identifies what recurring cycle the current situation is an instance of — and where in that cycle you currently are. TRIGGERS: 'what cycle is this', 'where are we in the cycle', 'is this a bubble', 'what comes next', 'have we been here before'.
skills/s4h-historical-cycle-detection/SKILL.md
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- Last checked
- Nov 11, 2026
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- License
- MIT
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# Historical Cycle Detection
Most situations that feel unprecedented are instances of recognisable cycles. The
value of cycle identification is not prediction — cycles don't produce certainties —
it is orientation. Knowing where you are in the cycle tells you what phase logic to
apply, what the typical incentive pressures are at this point, and what tends to come
next absent a significant disrupting variable.
---
## Your Process
**Step 1: Describe the Situation and Recent Trajectory**
What is happening and how has it developed? Focus on direction of change —