Individual skill

s4h-temporal-cycle-detection

Identifies what recurring cycle a situation is an instance of and where in that cycle you currently are. Use when asked 'what cycle is this', 'where are we in the cycle', 'have we seen this before', 'detect the pattern', 'hype cycle', or 'where in the curve'.

skills/s4h-temporal-cycle-detection/SKILL.md

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# Temporal Cycle Detection

Every situation that feels unprecedented is usually an instance of a recurring cycle. Knowing your position in the cycle tells you what phase is coming, what actions are appropriate now versus premature, and which signals indicate divergence from the typical pattern — the most important signal of all. Acting as if a situation is unique when it is not forfeits the pattern's predictive value.

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## Your Process

**Step 1: Describe Current State and Trajectory**
State what is happening now and how the situation has moved over the past period. Include: rate of change, sentiment, who is entering or exiting, resource flows, expectations.

**Framing check:** Confirm the specific situation before continuing. State what you've identified — the actual phenomenon or domain being analyzed and its key observable parameters — in one sentence, then use `AskUserQuestion`:
- **Question:** "I'm reading this as: [your one-sentence framing of the specific situation and what is changing]. Is that right?"
- **Header:** "Framing"
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