Individual skill

s4h-temporal-futures-mapping

Explores possible, probable, and preferable futures using scenario thinking. Use when asked about 'scenario planning', 'futures thinking', 'possible futures', 'how might this play out', 'futures cone', or 'what could happen'.

skills/s4h-temporal-futures-mapping/SKILL.md

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# Temporal Futures Mapping

The future is not a single path — it is a cone of possibilities that narrows as time passes and choices are made. Scenario thinking does not predict the future; it maps the cone so that plans can be tested against multiple plausible worlds rather than a single assumed one. Plans that only work in one scenario are fragile. Plans robust across several are resilient.

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## Your Process

**Step 1: Define Time Horizon and Decision Context**
State the specific decision or question being stress-tested and the time horizon (1 year, 5 years, 10 years). The scenarios must be built around a decision, not just as general futures.

**Framing check:** Confirm the specific decision context before continuing. State what you've identified — the actual decision or question being stress-tested and the time horizon — in one sentence, then use `AskUserQuestion`:
- **Question:** "I'm reading this as: [your one-sentence framing of the decision and time horizon]. Is that right?"
- **Header:** "Framing"
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