Individual skill
macro-analysis
Macroeconomic cycle positioning and central-bank policy interpretation, including GDP/CPI/PMI/rates/FX analysis, with output in the form of major-asset allocation tilts.
agent/src/skills/macro-analysis/SKILL.md
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# Macroeconomic Analysis
## Overview
Interprets macroeconomic data and central-bank policy, identifies the current economic-cycle stage, and derives major-asset allocation direction. Covers the three major economies of China (PBOC), the United States (Fed), and Europe (ECB).
## Core Indicator System
### Growth Indicators
| Indicator | Frequency | Key Threshold | Data Source |
|------|------|----------|--------|
| GDP YoY | Quarterly | China >5% = normal, <4% = weak | National Bureau of Statistics |
| Manufacturing PMI | Monthly | >50 = expansion, <50 = contraction, 49-51 = borderline | NBS / Caixin |