Individual skill

pair-trading

Pair trading strategy. Trades mean reversion using the spread/ratio Z-score of two correlated instruments. Requires at least two instruments.

agent/src/skills/pair-trading/SKILL.md

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# Pair Trading Strategy

## Purpose

Select two highly correlated instruments (such as stocks from the same industry or BTC/ETH), monitor how far their price ratio (or spread) deviates from the mean, and trade against extreme deviations while waiting for mean reversion.

## Signal Logic

1. **Compute the price ratio**: `ratio = close_A / close_B`
2. **Rolling mean and standard deviation**: `mean = ratio.rolling(lookback).mean()`, `std = ratio.rolling(lookback).std()`
3. **Z-score**: `z = (ratio - mean) / std`
4. **Signal generation**:
   - Z < -entry_z → long A, short B (ratio is too low, expected to revert)
   - Z > +entry_z → short A, long B (ratio is too high, expected to revert)
   - |Z| < exit_z → close the position (reverted back near the mean)
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