Individual skill

commodity-analysis

Commodity analysis (oil supply-demand balance / gold pricing / copper as an economic predictor / inventory cycles / futures premium-discount structure / seasonality), generating directional commodity signals.

agent/src/skills/commodity-analysis/SKILL.md

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# Commodity Analysis

## Overview

Analyze commodities from four dimensions — supply-demand balance, pricing model, inventory cycle, and futures structure — and output directional signals suitable for backtesting. Focuses on crude oil (global pricing anchor), gold (safe haven + inflation hedge), and copper (economic barometer).

## Core Concepts

### 1. Crude Oil Supply-Demand Balance

**Key supply-side variables:**

| Variable | Data Source | Frequency | Direction of Impact |
|------|--------|------|---------|
| OPEC production | OPEC monthly report | Monthly | Production cuts → oil price ↑ |
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