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决策思维模型格森

把'凭直觉拍板'换成可检验的判断:思维模型格森、公理化推理与多模型交叉验证。当面临重大选择、论证总被反问住、或团队争论不休时调用。

backend/builtin/决策思维模型格森/SKILL.md

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Nov 10, 2026
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# 决策思维:多元模型/逆向思维/第一性原理

> 本包由 45 张方法论重铸卡汇编重铸(卡片明细与出处见各卡 frontmatter 的 source_card / source_book)。

## 何时调用

当创作与商业决策的思维工具箱时调用(本包由 45 张方法论卡汇编而成,整理自《孙子兵法》、《穷查理宝典》、《第一性原理》、《认知红利》)。核心能力:决策思维:多元模型/逆向思维/第一性原理。关键触发:“我做了这么多年,不需要什么清单”、“我可以学”、“我觉得这肯定是对的/不可能错”、“必须扳回来”、“太好了以至于不真实”、“为什么制度改了但大家还是老样子?”。工位边界:本包负责创作方法论层;提示词语法与模型参数走影策官方市场技能,两者接力不抢戏。

## 本包交付什么

用户提出需求时,本包最终交付:

1. **思维模型选用清单**
2. **推理链与反证**
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