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jwe-identification

Use when the identification strategy is the bottleneck for a 《世界经济》 (The Journal of World Economy) manuscript — external shocks (tariffs, trade agreements, exchange-rate reforms, FDI negative-list) as quasi-experiments, plus shift-share / Bartik and gravity designs. Stress-tests exogeneity and inference, including the modern shift-share critiques.

Journal-of-World-Economy-Skills/skills/jwe-identification/SKILL.md

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# 开放经济识别策略(jwe-identification)

> 在《世界经济》(IWEP + 中国世界经济学会主办,月刊),识别策略的外生变动最好锚在**国际/制度性冲击**上(关税战、入世、汇改、外资负面清单、全球需求冲击),而非国内政策的副产品——这是本刊区别于综合性/金融类期刊的识别口味。shift-share 与引力-PPML 是本刊高频设计,其现代推断批评(GPSS/BHJ/AKM)也是本刊审稿人高频追问点。基础事实见 `resources/journal-profile.md`。

## 触发时机

- 实证主体仅 OLS + 控制变量,外生性靠"我们认为"
- 用 shift-share / Bartik 暴露度但不讨论 exposure 外生性与推断
- 引力模型用 OLS-log、零贸易直接丢
- 有外部冲击但没想清"为何对个体外生"

## 设计优先级(开放经济场景)

1. **外部 / 制度性冲击 + DID / event-study**:关税战、入世、自贸区、汇改、外资负面清单
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