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nbr-hypothesis-development

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Use to develop hypotheses for 《南开管理评论》 (Nankai Business Review) so each is backed by an explicit theoretical mechanism, not intuition. Use when hypotheses read as "we expect a positive relationship", when mediation/moderation logic is asserted without a mechanism, or when the hypothesis set is not derived from the theory invoked in the introduction.

Nankai-Business-Review-Skills/skills/nbr-hypothesis-development/SKILL.md

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# 假设推演（nbr-hypothesis-development）

## 触发时机

- 假设写成"X 与 Y 正相关/负相关"，没讲为什么
- 中介/调节只是"加变量"，没有理论逻辑
- 假设与引言所用理论脱节，像事后补的

## 核心原则：每条假设 = 一条机理链

合格的假设推演必须显化**机制链**：
```
X 通过 <理论机制M> 影响 Y（H1）。
因为 <理论T 主张……>，所以在 <条件> 下，X→M→Y。
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