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cpa-identification

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Use when the research design is the bottleneck for a 《中国行政管理》 manuscript — choosing and stress-testing a quantitative, qualitative, or normative design and matching it to the research question. Stress-tests the design before drafting exhibits; does not write the policy implications. 本技能服务于《中国行政管理》(Chinese Public Administration, CPA)。

Chinese-Public-Administration-Skills/skills/cpa-identification/SKILL.md

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# 研究设计与因果推断（cpa-identification）

## 触发时机

- 不确定该用定量、定性还是规范分析
- 做了问卷但只跑了描述统计 + 主观判断
- 案例研究只是"讲故事"，没有清晰的设计逻辑与证据链
- 想用准实验（DID / IV / 断点）但不确定问题是否适配

## 第一原则：方法服务于问题

**先看研究问题的性质，再选方法。** 把流行的因果识别方法硬套到本质是规范或描述性的问题上，是《中国行政管理》审稿人最反感的"方法错配"。

| 研究问题性质 | 适配设计 |
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