Individual skill

mw-mechanism-heterogeneity

用于为《管理世界》实证稿件设计与撰写机制检验和异质性分析,从"政策有效"走向"为何有效、对谁有效"。Use when 主回归已稳健但缺机制证据、异质性切分颗粒度不够(只切国企/非国企或东中西)、中介只跑 Sobel、或审稿人追问"为什么会有这个效应"时使用。锚定《管理世界》国务院发展研究中心主办、管理学与经济学并重、规范的机制检验与企业微观异质性传统,落实因果中介、有理论指引的分层切分与系数差异检验,几乎所有本刊实证投稿都需要本环节。 本技能服务于《管理世界》(Management World, MW)。

Journal-of-Management-World-Skills/skills/mw-mechanism-heterogeneity/SKILL.md

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# 机制与异质性(mw-mechanism-heterogeneity)

## 触发时机

- 主回归结果已稳健,但缺机制分析
- 异质性分析只切了"国企 / 非国企"或"东中西"——颗粒度不够
- 审稿人问"为什么会有这个效应?"

## 机制分析(Mechanism)

### 三种主流路径

1. **中介效应 / 调节效应回归**
   - 经典 Baron & Kenny 已被弱化 → 推荐 Bootstrap + 直接估计 + 因果中介(imai-keele-yamamoto)
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