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aeri-identification
Use when the identification argument is the bottleneck for an American Economic Review: Insights (AER: Insights) short-format manuscript — causal identification in an empirical design, parameter identification in a structural model, or treatment-effect identification in an experiment. Stress-tests the strategy so it is clean enough to defend in a few pages, before exhibits are finalized.
AER-Insights-Skills/skills/aeri-identification/SKILL.md
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# Identification — Clean Enough to Defend Short (aeri-identification)
## When to trigger
- The single headline result rests on OLS + controls, or TWFE on staggered timing
- A structural parameter is estimated but it is unclear *what in the data* identifies it
- An experiment's estimand or assumptions are not pinned down
- You are unsure the identification is clean enough to carry a *short* paper
## The AER: Insights identification bar
A short paper has **no room to rescue a weak design** with pages of robustness. The identification must be **clean, transparent, and self-contained** — the central exhibit and one or two sentences should make a non-specialist believe the headline number. Because AER: Insights papers are one insight at AER-level importance, the design is held to AER credibility but expressed with extreme economy: state the **data-to-object mapping in one sentence**, show the **single most convincing diagnostic in-text**, and move the rest to the Supplemental Appendix. AEA house style: report **standard errors / confidence sets**, not significance asterisks, and make everything reproducible for the AEA Data Editor.
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