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ier-robustness

Use when an International Economic Review (IER) result may be sensitive to specification, sample, functional form, calibration, or inference choices. Organizes robustness by threat to the load-bearing assumption; it does not run the regressions.

International-Economic-Review-Skills/skills/ier-robustness/SKILL.md

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# Robustness Strategy (ier-robustness)

## When to trigger

- The headline number is suspected to hinge on a functional-form choice (CES/log/quadratic) or a single calibrated parameter
- A referee asks "is this robust?" and the draft answers with a mechanical appendix of re-runs
- Inference looks fragile — few clusters, serial correlation, or numerically unstable standard errors
- For a structural paper, the counterfactual moves a lot when you re-anchor an externally-set parameter
- You need to know which robustness checks an IER referee will actually demand vs. which are noise

## The IER robustness principle: organize by threat, not by list

IER referees reward robustness that is **tied to the load-bearing assumption** identified in `ier-theory-model`/`ier-identification`. A list of twenty re-runs reads as defensive; three checks that each retire a specific threat to the result read as confident. Build the robustness section as a threat map:
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