Individual skill

jpam-research-design

Use when defending the causal identification of a Journal of Policy Analysis and Management (JPAM) manuscript — RCTs, difference-in-differences / event study, regression discontinuity / kink, instrumental variables, and synthetic control for policy and program evaluation. Strengthens the design and its assumptions; it does not write estimation code.

Journal-of-Policy-Analysis-and-Management-Skills/skills/jpam-research-design/SKILL.md

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# Research Design & Identification (jpam-research-design)

Credible identification is JPAM's **core bar**. The journal evaluates the effects of real policies and
programs, so the design must connect the theory of change (`jpam-theory-building`) to evidence a
policymaker can trust. State the **estimand**, the **assumptions** that license a causal reading, and
**how each is defended** — then rule out the single strongest rival explanation. Selection-on-
observables alone rarely clears the bar.

## When to trigger

- Specifying or defending identification for a policy evaluation
- A reviewer questioned causal claims, parallel trends, the instrument, the discontinuity, or confounding
- Choosing among RCT / DiD / RD / IV / synthetic control for a given policy variation
- Preparing a pre-analysis plan for a prospective program evaluation
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