Individual skill

jfr-identification

Use when the identification strategy is the bottleneck for a 《金融研究》 (Journal of Financial Research) manuscript — policy shocks (MPA / 资管新规 / LPR / 注册制), high-frequency monetary-policy surprises, DID, IV, RDD — stress-testing the design before drafting tables.

Journal-of-Financial-Research-Skills/skills/jfr-identification/SKILL.md

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Network or broad shell
Last checked
Nov 9, 2026

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1,405
Repository last updated
Sep 27, 2026
License
MIT

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# 因果识别策略(jfr-identification)

## 触发时机

- 实证主体仅 OLS + 控制变量,谈"相关"不谈"因果"
- 宏观题靠时间序列相关讲故事,缺冲击识别
- DID 用 TWFE 但没回应异质性处理批评
- IV 第一阶段弱 / 排他性存疑

## 设计优先级(《金融研究》口味,强 → 弱)

1. **自然实验式政策冲击 + DID**(MPA 考核、资管新规、LPR 改革、注册制等监管/政策变动)
2. **高频识别**:货币政策意外(政策公告窗口的利率/价格高频反应)
3. **断点回归**(清晰的监管门槛:资本充足率、规模、评级阈值)
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