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jole-identification-strategy
Use when the causal identification strategy is the bottleneck for a Journal of Labor Economics (JOLE) manuscript — DID/event study, IV including shift-share, RDD, RCT, and AKM firm–worker designs common in labor economics. Stress-tests the design to JOLE's bar before tables are drafted.
Journal-of-Labor-Economics-Skills/skills/jole-identification-strategy/SKILL.md
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# Identification Strategy (jole-identification-strategy)
## When to trigger
- The empirical core is OLS + controls with an undefended causal claim
- A DID uses two-way fixed effects (TWFE) on staggered policy timing without modern estimators
- A shift-share / Bartik IV's exclusion or exposure-share exogeneity is unargued
- An RDD at an eligibility threshold lacks a density test or bandwidth robustness
- AKM firm–worker fixed effects may carry limited-mobility bias
## The JOLE identification bar
JOLE publishes empirical labor papers only when the causal claim is **credible and the data are replicable**. Labor referees apply the standard credibility ladder, tuned to labor settings (strong → weaker):
