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rt-ladder-ev

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Use when choosing between submission sequences rather than between single venues — "should I try the top journal first, or start one rung down?", or when a tenure/job-market clock makes time-to-print the binding constraint. Costs a resubmission ladder in months and in probability of ever placing, using each venue's own turnaround and desk-reject figures. Follows rt-journal-match, which produces the ladder this one prices.

Research-Toolkit-Skills/skills/rt-ladder-ev/SKILL.md

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# Ladder Expected Value (rt-ladder-ev)

`rt-journal-match` returns a shortlist and an order. This answers the question that
order implies but never states: **what does that sequence cost?**

Authors compare venues one at a time — *is this one worth a shot?* — and in isolation the
answer is almost always yes. The cost only appears in the sequence, and it is a trade
between months and placement probability that nothing else in this repository made
visible, so it was settled by optimism.

The size of the trade is whatever your inputs say it is; the point of the tool is that
you find out before spending the months rather than after. In the
[worked example](../../../shared-resources/journal-selection/worked-example.md), one
reach rung costs about four and a half months and buys about four points of placement
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