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cogpsych-theory-and-hypotheses

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Use when stating the theory, formalizing the model, and deriving predictions for a Cognitive Psychology (Elsevier) manuscript. The journal rewards a formal/computational account whose parameters mean something and whose predictions discriminate it from rivals. Structures the theory and the model that the experiments test; it does not fit the model or run analyses.

Cognitive-Psychology-Skills/skills/cogpsych-theory-and-hypotheses/SKILL.md

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# Theory, Models & Hypotheses (cogpsych-theory-and-hypotheses)

Cognitive Psychology rewards a **formal account of a cognitive process** — a computational or
mathematical model whose parameters have interpretable meaning and whose predictions can be **fit to
data and compared against rival models**. The cardinal move here is to turn a verbal theory into a
model that makes the experiments *discriminating*, and to separate predicted (confirmatory) from
discovered (exploratory) results.

## When to trigger

- Specifying the theory and the formal/computational model that the experiments will test
- Deriving the predictions that **separate** your account from rival models
- Co-designing the model with the experiments (iterate with `cogpsych-study-design`)
- A reviewer said the work is "atheoretical," "the model is just a curve fit," or "your data don't
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