Individual skill
jpube-identification-strategy
Use when the causal identification strategy is the bottleneck for a Journal of Public Economics (JPubE) manuscript — bunching at tax kinks/notches, regression kink (RKD), DID off reform rollout, IV from policy instruments, RDD at eligibility thresholds. Stress-tests the design against public-finance norms before tables are drafted.
Journal-of-Public-Economics-Skills/skills/jpube-identification-strategy/SKILL.md
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# Identification Strategy (jpube-identification-strategy)
## When to trigger
- The empirical core is OLS + controls with an undefended causal claim
- A reform DID uses two-way fixed effects (TWFE) on staggered timing
- A bunching estimate lacks a defensible counterfactual density
- An IV's policy instrument has an unargued exclusion restriction
- You are unsure the design clears the JPubE public-finance bar
## The JPubE identification bar
JPubE rewards **credible identification of a policy-relevant parameter**, evaluated by public-finance specialists under single anonymized review (a minimum of two reviewers, with author identity known to them). Because the field's payoff is usually a behavioral elasticity feeding a welfare formula, the design must pin down the response to a tax, transfer, or program rule cleanly. The credibility ranking referees implicitly apply (strong → weaker):
