Individual skill

poq-theory-and-hypotheses

Use when building the theoretical argument and hypotheses of a Public Opinion Quarterly (POQ) manuscript — whether the contribution is to opinion/communication theory or to survey methodology. POQ rewards explicit constructs, mechanisms, and testable hypotheses, and methods papers need a clear claim about a survey-error source. Structures the argument; it does not run analyses.

Public-Opinion-Quarterly-Skills/skills/poq-theory-and-hypotheses/SKILL.md

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# Theory & Hypotheses (poq-theory-and-hypotheses)

At POQ a result is not a contribution until it is attached to a **clear claim** — about how opinion
forms or moves, how communication shapes it, or how a survey-design choice affects measurement. This
skill turns findings into theory: explicit constructs, mechanisms, and **falsifiable hypotheses**, in
the idiom appropriate to a substantive or a methodological paper.

## When to trigger

- The empirics are strong but the "so what / why" is thin
- A reviewer said the paper is "atheoretical," "ad hoc," or "just a finding"
- You need to state constructs, mechanisms, and hypotheses explicitly
- A methods paper needs a precise claim about which survey-error source it addresses
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