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ceq-topic-selection

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Use when shaping or sharpening a 《经济学(季刊)》 (China Economic Quarterly, CEQ) research question — turning data/correlation into a clean causal, model-able, internationally-legible topic that a field economist can recognize as a contribution. Use before literature review and identification.

China-Economic-Quarterly-Skills/skills/ceq-topic-selection/SKILL.md

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# 选题（ceq-topic-selection）

## 触发时机

- 有数据/相关性，但没有"可识别的因果问题"
- 选题像政策评估或行业描述，缺机制
- 不确定问题能否让 field 同行立刻看懂贡献

## CEQ 选题的三个硬条件

1. **干净因果**：存在可信的处理/外生变异（政策冲击、断点、自然实验、强工具）。
2. **可建模**：问题能写成一个机制清晰的（结构或简约）模型，含可检验命题。
3. **国际可对话**：问题表述去本土包装后，field 同行仍能识别其一般性贡献。
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