Individual skill

jle-identification

Use when the causal identification argument is the bottleneck for a The Journal of Law and Economics (JLE) manuscript — a law change (DiD/event study), a court/judge/case-assignment design, a regulatory threshold (RD), or an antitrust/enforcement event. Stress-tests the law-to-outcome mapping to the JLE credibility bar before exhibits are finalized; it does not write the prose or build the deposit.

Journal-of-Law-and-Economics-Skills/skills/jle-identification/SKILL.md

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# Identification Strategy (jle-identification)

## When to trigger

- A causal claim about a legal rule rests on OLS + controls, or TWFE on staggered statute adoption
- A court/judge design's random-assignment defense, monotonicity, or exclusion is not pinned down
- A regulatory threshold's density, bandwidth, or bunching response is unaddressed
- An antitrust/enforcement event study has contaminated windows or no clean control market
- You are unsure the design clears JLE's law-and-economics credibility bar

## The JLE identification bar

JLE judges identification through a **law-and-economics lens**: the **mapping from a legal/regulatory source of variation to the causal estimand must be explicit, defended, and consistent with how the rule actually operates**. Referees here are economists who also know the institution — they will ask whether the statute really bound when you say, whether enforcement varied, whether the "control" jurisdiction had its own contemporaneous reform. State the estimand, name the identifying assumption, show the diagnostic that could have failed, and keep the claim inside what the legal design supports. Inference must match the design (cluster at the level of legal variation — usually the jurisdiction; correct for few jurisdictions).
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