Individual skill

jru-identification

Use when identifying a risk or uncertainty parameter is the bottleneck for a Journal of Risk and Uncertainty (JRU) manuscript — incentive-compatible elicitation in an experiment, or structural/empirical estimation of risk preferences, VSL, or insurance demand. Stress-tests how the data pin the primitive; it does not invent evidence or citations.

Journal-of-Risk-and-Uncertainty-Skills/skills/jru-identification/SKILL.md

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# Identification Strategy (jru-identification)

## When to trigger

- An experiment elicits a risk or ambiguity attitude but the mechanism may not be **incentive-compatible** (truthful revelation in doubt)
- A choice-list / BDM / matching-probability design is used and a referee questions whether it measures the parameter cleanly
- A structural model is estimated on field data and it is unclear *what variation* identifies the risk parameter (vs. beliefs, vs. constraints)
- A VSL or insurance-demand estimate rests on regressions whose exclusion or selection assumptions are not defended

## The JRU identification bar

At JRU "identification" means the **mapping from choices to the risk/uncertainty primitive** must be explicit and defended — whether that primitive is elicited in the lab or estimated from the field. Because the journal spans theory, experiment, and empirics, identification splits by branch. The unifying demand: the procedure must reveal the *intended* parameter and not confound it with utility curvature, beliefs, or constraints.

### Branch A: Experimental elicitation of risk / ambiguity preferences
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