Individual skill
jf-identification
Use when the causal-identification strategy is the bottleneck for a corporate / empirical The Journal of Finance (JF) manuscript — natural experiments, IV, DID, RDD. Stress-tests the design; for asset-pricing tests use jf-empirical-design.
Journal-of-Finance-Skills/skills/jf-identification/SKILL.md
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# Causal Identification (jf-identification)
## When to trigger
- The paper makes a causal claim ("X causes Y") resting on a research design
- You rely on an instrument, a shock, a discontinuity, or a diff-in-diff and a referee will attack the exclusion/parallel-trends assumption
- Endogeneity (reverse causality, omitted variables, selection) threatens the headline result
> Scope: corporate / empirical causal effects. For cross-sectional asset-pricing tests use `jf-empirical-design`.
## JF's bar for identification
JF is the AFA flagship, general-interest, with a ~5% acceptance rate and ~33–45% desk rejection (afajof.org editor reports, accessed 2026-05-30). For a corporate/empirical paper, **credible identification is usually the binding constraint** — a clever question with a weak design is a classic JF desk reject. The design must convince a broad AFA readership, not just specialists.
