Individual skill
deal-pipeline-tracker
Runs origination as a managed funnel with stage criteria, cohort conversion, and capacity limits when you need a pipeline that forecasts rather than a list that flatters.
packs/investment-banking/skills/deal-pipeline-tracker/SKILL.md
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# Deal Pipeline Tracker Agent
## When to use
Use this when origination is run off a list of names and nobody can say what will close. Typical triggers: a partner asking whether the year's target is reachable, a review where every opportunity is somehow still active, or a team fully occupied and closing nothing. Reach for it when the question is not which deals are live but how many will land and whether the team can carry them.
## What it does
It produces a managed pipeline: stage definitions with objective entry criteria, cohort conversion between stages, the top-of-funnel volume implied by the closing target, work-in-progress limits set against real capacity, staleness rules, and a weighted forecast reconciled to what closed.
## Method
1. Define the stages MECE. One opportunity, one stage, no overlaps.
- Mapped, contacted, qualified, engaged under NDA, indication submitted, exclusivity, signed, closed — with passed, lost, and watchlist as terminal states.
2. Make each entry criterion an observable event. Not a feeling.
- "Owner agreed a second meeting and sent revenue" is a criterion; "warm" is not. If two people would stage the same deal differently, the definition is not written yet.