Individual skill

precedent-transaction-screener

Build a screened, cycle-adjusted set of M&A precedents that actually inform pricing. Use when building the precedent page of a valuation deck, pressure-testing a control-premium thesis, or framing a buy-side bid against historical comparables. Built around screening discipline, cycle and structure adjustments, and synergy calibration.

skills/precedent-transaction-screener/SKILL.md

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# Precedent Transaction Screener

## Purpose

Identify the M&A transactions that genuinely inform what a control buyer would pay for this target — and discard the ones that look comparable but were priced under conditions that no longer apply.

The output is not a long list of "transactions in the sector." It is a tight set of true comparables, calibrated for cycle, deal structure, and buyer type, with the multiples that should actually anchor the valuation conversation.

## Governing Principle

**A precedent is only useful if you would re-do the deal at the same multiple today. If not, adjust or discard.**

Bad precedent work pads the page with deal count. Good precedent work cuts the list down to the five to fifteen transactions that an experienced buyer or seller would actually negotiate against.
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