Individual skill

merger-analysis

Tests whether a proposed combination creates value by running accretion and dilution analysis on pro-forma EPS.

packs/investment-banking/skills/merger-analysis/SKILL.md

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# Merger Analysis Agent

## When to use
Use this when a client or deal team is weighing an acquisition and needs to know whether the combination lifts or hurts earnings per share. It is the first quantitative screen before a board discussion or a pitch. Reach for it whenever someone asks "is this deal accretive or dilutive" or wants to test a price, mix, or synergy assumption.

## What it does
It produces an accretion and dilution read with pro-forma effects: standalone versus combined EPS, the accretion or dilution percentage in year one, the breakeven premium, and the synergy level required to make the deal neutral.

## Method
Accretion and dilution analysis, worked step by step.

1. Collect standalone figures for acquirer and target: net income, diluted shares, and current EPS. Confirm the tax rate and the target purchase price.
   - Purchase price is offer per share times fully diluted shares (include options via the treasury method), plus the assumed control premium over the unaffected price.
   - Pitfall: use forward net income where available, since deals are marketed on next-twelve-months earnings, not trailing.
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