Individual skill

Returns Sensitivity

Isolates the two or three variables a return genuinely depends on, presents the return surface across them, and states the entry price at which the base case stops clearing the hurdle -- when you need a walk-away price rather than a range of hopes.

packs/private-equity/skills/returns-sensitivity/SKILL.md

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# Returns Sensitivity

## When to use

Use this skill once a base case exists and the question turns to how much of the return is assumption. It is the discipline that runs before a final bid, and again whenever someone proposes stretching for the asset. Its output is a single number the deal team commits to in advance: the price above which the base case no longer clears the fund's own hurdle.

## What it does

Produces a sensitivity note: a one-at-a-time elasticity test that separates the variables that move the return from the ones that decorate it, a return surface across the two that survive, a note of which of them the sponsor actually controls, and a stated walk-away price in both multiple and enterprise value.

## Method

### Step 1 -- Strip the collinear variables before flexing anything
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