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opportunity
Find and execute cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across prediction markets
src/skills/bundled/opportunity/SKILL.md
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- ai Repository topic
- arbitrage Repository topic
- claude Repository topic
- crypto Repository topic
- defi Repository topic
- ethereum Repository topic
- futures Repository topic
- kalshi Repository topic
- polymarket Repository topic
- prediction-markets Repository topic
- engineering Derived category
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# Opportunity Finder - Complete API Reference
Discover and execute cross-platform arbitrage opportunities across Polymarket, Kalshi, Betfair, Smarkets, Manifold, Metaculus, PredictIt, and Drift.
Based on [arXiv:2508.03474](https://arxiv.org/abs/2508.03474) which found **$40M+ in realized arbitrage** on Polymarket.
## Opportunity Types
| Type | Description | Example |
|------|-------------|---------|
| **Internal** | YES + NO < $1 on same platform | Buy both for guaranteed profit |
| **Cross-Platform** | Same market priced differently | Buy low on A, sell high on B |
| **Combinatorial** | Logical violations (P(A) > P(B) when A implies B) | Trump > Republican |
| **Edge** | Market vs external model (538, polls) | Market 45%, model 52% |