Individual skill
commercial-forecaster
Use when building a bookings, ARR, pipeline or NRR forecast, or a commit, best-case and pipeline board number. Forecasts with bookings_forecaster.py, projects cohorts with cohort_arr_projector.py and scores stage confidence with funnel_confidence_scorer.py, showing every conversion assumption.
commercial/skills/commercial-forecaster/SKILL.md
Source commit 8f082544116fc0d014188e521ca40304cdfc86b0
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- Matches the observed repository HEAD
- Yes
- Scanner rules are current
- Yes
- Repository scan complete
- No
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- Observed behavior
- Network or broad shell
- Last checked
- Nov 10, 2026
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Repository context
- Repository stars (not skill ratings)
- 29,626
- Repository last updated
- Nov 11, 2026
- License
- MIT
Observed agent integration: No specific integration evidence. Standard SKILL.md installation does not imply verified compatibility.
- agentic-ai Repository topic
- anthropic-claude Repository topic
- claude-ai Repository topic
- claude-code Repository topic
- claude-skills Repository topic
- claude-code-skills Repository topic
- ai-coding-agent Repository topic
- claude-code-plugins Repository topic
- developer-tools Repository topic
- openai-codex Repository topic
- commercial Declared skill tag
- forecasting Declared skill tag
- bookings Declared skill tag
- arr Declared skill tag
- nrr Declared skill tag
- grr Declared skill tag
- cohort Declared skill tag
- funnel Declared skill tag
- pipeline-math Declared skill tag
- engineering Derived category
Files and excerpt
File metadata and permitted, redacted excerpts come from the recorded scan. Source links are pinned to that commit.
Browse files
SKILL.mdcore · 11,584 bytesassets/forecast_intake_template.mddoc · 6,089 bytesreferences/cohort_analysis_canon.mddoc · 6,570 bytesreferences/forecast_anti_patterns.mddoc · 8,732 bytesreferences/saas_forecasting_canon.mddoc · 7,139 bytesscripts/bookings_forecaster.pyruns · 18,797 bytesscripts/cohort_arr_projector.pyruns · 12,487 bytesscripts/funnel_confidence_scorer.pyruns · 7,825 bytes
Read excerpt
# commercial-forecaster
## Purpose
Help Commercial leaders answer three questions at the forecast moment:
1. **What's the commit / best-case / pipe-only number?** (3-tier bookings forecast with disclosed assumptions)
2. **Which cohorts are leaking, and is the consolidated NRR hiding the leak?** (per-cohort NRR/GRR projection over horizon)
3. **Which funnel stages are reliable, and which are statistical noise?** (per-stage coefficient-of-variation confidence band)
The skill recommends **three forecast numbers + an explicit assumption block**. The CRO presents the number, the board sees the assumptions, the theatre dies.
## When to use
