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compartmental-models

Infectious disease modeling with SIR/SEIR models — R0, fitting, forecasting, and intervention scenarios.

skills/compartmental-models/SKILL.md

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## Overview

compartmental-models covers the workhorse models of infectious-disease dynamics: SIR, SEIR, and
their extensions. It focuses on building models that inform decisions — estimating R0, projecting
under interventions, and communicating uncertainty — rather than on mathematical novelty. A model
is a decision tool; its value is measured in better decisions, not in fit statistics.

## When to use

- Estimating R0/Rt from early outbreak data.
- Projecting epidemic trajectories under different intervention scenarios.
- Evaluating interventions: vaccination coverage, NPIs, test-and-trace.
- Understanding herd-immunity thresholds and final-size relations.
- Fitting models to case/hospitalization data with proper uncertainty.
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