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monitor-polymarket

Monitor Polymarket and/or Kalshi prediction markets for 24h price moves, volume changes, fresh comments, and high-conviction alerts

skills/monitor-polymarket/SKILL.md

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Source commit 25575a6be3bfab41925964de55654056a2fe0c39

What was checked

Matches the observed repository HEAD
Yes
Scanner rules are current
Yes
Repository scan complete
No
Skill scan complete
No
Observed behavior
Network or broad shell
Last checked
Nov 6, 2026

These are observations at the recorded commit, not a guarantee of safety. Review the source before running it.

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Repository context

Repository stars (not skill ratings)
789
Repository last updated
Nov 5, 2026
License
MIT

Observed agent integration: No specific integration evidence. Standard SKILL.md installation does not imply verified compatibility.

Files and excerpt

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> **${var}** — Platform selector with an optional single-market override:
> - **empty** (`""`) — run **both** platforms from their watchlists.
> - `polymarket` — run Polymarket's whole watchlist (`skills/monitor-polymarket/watchlist-polymarket.md`).
> - `kalshi` — run Kalshi's whole watchlist (`skills/monitor-polymarket/watchlist-kalshi.md`).
> - `polymarket:<event-slug>` — one ad-hoc Polymarket event (e.g. `polymarket:us-x-iran-ceasefire-by`).
> - `kalshi:<event-ticker>` — one ad-hoc Kalshi event (e.g. `kalshi:KXGDP-26Q2`).

Read `memory/MEMORY.md` for context.
Read the last 2 days of `memory/logs/` to compare against previous readings and flag *new* movers (not repeats of yesterday's news).

## Why this skill exists

A table of prices isn't useful. An operator reading this notification wants to answer: **"is there a market worth forming a view on right now, and why?"** Every rule below exists to push output toward that question — suppress noise, rank by decision value, and demand one line of reasoning per alert. This skill covers two venues — **Polymarket** (crypto-native, CLOB + comments) and **Kalshi** (regulated, liquidity-weighted signals) — and dispatches to the branch(es) the selector asks for.

## Dispatch