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launch-monitor

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Use when the user asks to "monitor my launch", "track our Product Hunt / Hacker News ranking", or "watch the launch window"; runs the T-0 to T+30 window watch — pre-launch instrumentation verification (UTM/event checks, the upstream of RAMP P1), HN rank/points/comments polling with a comments-over-points flamewar early-warning (Estimated heuristic), PH votes/featured status, store charts and reviews, news echo, D0/W1/M1 KPI snapshots vs targets, spike-vs-sustain and owned-capture reads, and alert thresholds against the launch-tier KPI targets. Not for launch-day go/rollback calls — use launch-day-conductor; not for metric deep-dives — use performance-analyzer; not for SEO rank tracking — use rank-tracker. 发布监控/排名轮询/火焰战比/spike-sustain

launch/prove/launch-monitor/SKILL.md

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# Launch Monitor

Watches the launch window — T-0 through T+30 — so traction is verifiable while it happens, not reconstructed afterwards. It is the first Prove-phase skill in the [RAMP loop](../../../references/ramp-benchmark.md): its pre-launch mode verifies measurement instrumentation on every launch surface (the direct upstream of the `P1` veto — untagged surfaces make traction unverifiable), and its window mode feeds the RAMP `P` sub-items for instrumentation, per-channel attribution reconciled against own analytics, KPI actuals vs targets at D0/W1/M1, spike-vs-sustain retention, and owned-capture rate. The live watch itself is the evidence behind the `M` live-monitoring-coverage sub-item.

Telemetry comes from keyless or free-key connectors — `scripts/connectors/hn.py` (keyless), `scripts/connectors/producthunt.py` (free-key developer token; non-commercial API ToS — business use needs Product Hunt approval, attribution required), `scripts/connectors/appstore.py` (keyless documented endpoints), `scripts/connectors/gdelt.py` (news echo) — and degrades to user-pasted values when a connector or key is missing. It works one lever — window telemetry — and hands off.

**Scope guard**: this skill watches and alerts; it does **not** decide. Launch-day go/rollback calls belong to [launch-day-conductor](../../mobilize/launch-day-conductor/SKILL.md); metric deep-dives and channel diagnosis to [performance-analyzer](../../../influencer/report/performance-analyzer/SKILL.md); SEO position tracking to [rank-tracker](../../../seo-geo/evaluate/rank-tracker/SKILL.md); feedback-theme triage to [launch-feedback-synthesizer](../launch-feedback-synthesizer/SKILL.md); the retro verdict to [launch-retro-analyzer](../launch-retro-analyzer/SKILL.md); the RAMP profile result and the `P1` veto to [launch-readiness-auditor](../../mobilize/launch-readiness-auditor/SKILL.md). Monitoring past T+30 is not a launch task — hand it to [performance-monitor](../../../seo-geo/evaluate/performance-monitor/SKILL.md); always-on brand/community listening outside a launch window is [social-pulse-monitor](../../../social/observe/social-pulse-monitor/SKILL.md)'s job.

## Quick Start

```
Monitor my launch — we go live [date] on [HN / Product Hunt / App Store]. KPI targets: [D0 / W1 / M1].
```
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