Individual skill
pymc
Builds, fits, checks, and compares Bayesian models in Python with PyMC and ArviZ. Covers hierarchical (multilevel) models, NUTS MCMC sampling, variational inference (ADVI), prior and posterior predictive checks, convergence diagnostics (R-hat, ESS, divergences), and LOO/WAIC model comparison. Use when writing a PyMC model for regression, count, or binary data. Use when fitting a hierarchical model with partial pooling. Use when diagnosing divergences, low ESS, or high R-hat. Use when comparing candidate models with LOO. Use when choosing priors or running prior predictive checks. Not for non-Bayesian regression; use statsmodels or scikit-learn instead.
plugins/KalarisLabs/research-agent-skills/skills/pymc/SKILL.md
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# PyMC Bayesian Modeling
## Overview
PyMC is a Python library for Bayesian modeling and probabilistic programming. Build, fit, validate, and compare Bayesian models using PyMC's modern API (version 6.x+), including hierarchical models, MCMC sampling (NUTS), variational inference, posterior predictive checks, and model comparison (LOO, WAIC).
## Current Version and Setup
PyMC 6.0.1 is the current stable release as of June 2026. It requires Python 3.12+, uses PyTensor 3 as the computational graph backend, and defaults to compiled backends such as Numba. For reproducible local environments, pin the version:
```bash
uv pip install "pymc[nutpie]==6.0.1"
```
